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A Half-Million Mac Converts in 2005

By Ed Oswald, BetaNews

July 20, 2005, 12:24 PM

In a note to clients, Needham & Co. analyst Charles Wolf wrote that the "halo effect" surrounding Apple's iPod is indeed real, and his firm is estimating as many as 400,000 Windows users have already made the switch from a Windows-based PC to the Macintosh platform.

Mac shipments have jumped 43 and then 35 percent in the past two quarters, which Wolf says was likely "driven chiefly by Windows users buying Macs." He says that assuming Mac sales would have been pretty much flat without the iPod's help, about 200,000 switchers bought a Mac in each of the past two quarters.

Wolf also said he expected sales growth to exceed 45 percent this quarter.

This pace is much higher than Wolf's previous forecast in November 2004. At that time, Wolf expected a half a million Windows users would switch over the entire year. However, now it appears more than just the iPod is causing consumers to consider an Apple computer.

"The most obvious reason is the virus epidemic that has invaded Windows PCs. Clearly, some Windows users bought Macs to escape it," he argued.

And Apple would be very happy to hear Wolf's predictions for next year. "Assuming an 11 percent switching rate, our model has these users purchasing over 1.2 million Macs in calendar 2006, about 700,000 more than in 2005."

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By Kompressor

posted Jul 21, 2005 - 9:27 PM

A surefire way to kill apple is for everyone to buy one. The more it becomes a mainstream OS, the more susceptible it will be to viruses and spyware.

Score: 0

By BIL

posted Jul 21, 2005 - 3:56 PM

The headline says a half of a million. The next line says 400,000. Where did the missing 100,000 go? Just more hype as usual. A good portion of those are Mac systems bought by colleges to teach students and others are business systems that are being upgraded. Some are due to the fact that the population has grown and there are more systems out there. There is no mass exodus from the PC to the Mac. It never ceases to amaze me how writers try to create a sensational story by half truths and inuendo. This story ca be likened to the sales pitch, "Sale! No credit application turned down. A credit application is not a credit approval. Just plain old hype.

Score: 0

By jd74ca

edited Jul 20, 2005 - 3:31 PM

After reading some of you guys comments I find myself laughing on the inside that you are so clueless.

First MacMini at it's base still blows PC out of the water in the same price range. Software for Mac is fantastic...off the top of my head I can easily think up 5 excellent FTP clients (3 being freeware). I can again off the top of my head think of 4+ DVD copying programs including DVD2one which is in every way comparable to DVDShrink. If you are a new Mac user you should try looking for programs at VersionTracker and Macupdate for things you need. You will find almost everything you can imagine there.

As for being a trend computer, depending on your point of view that can be true, we do win design awards constantly (last PC design award was how many years ago now?), have the operating system (OSX) which has been named by numerous publications (even some PC centric publications) as the "Best Operating System", "The Most Secure Operating System", the list goes on. When was the last accolade or vote of confidence bestowed on anything from the Bill Gates operating system labs...? I'm afraid that if having a superior product (both hardware and software) is trendy...I'm perfectly happy to be trendy!

I switched to Mac 4 years ago after being DIE HARD Windows. I have never had a problem, been unable to find a program I needed, had a virus, had spyware, or had a single problem of any kind since switching. That includes not having to constantly worry about updating virus software and firewalls...since being on Mac I've never once needed to worry for a second.

Hmmmm....I doubt anyone on a Windows system anywhere can say the same thing.

PS - Did I mention how easy it is to run a copy of Windows on a Mac, not sure why you'd want to but you could. Oddly you can't run OSX on a PC. Seems like Mac can do a whole lot more than anything PC can.

Score: 0

By blankboy

edited Jul 20, 2005 - 3:58 PM

the things you've mentioned is minimal on what people do on PCs instead of MAC. For example, PC gaming is where PC dominates MAC. Not only in hardware innovations, but as well as games. What can MAC run that PC can't? I can also think of many other in enterprise computing but i think i made my point. The only strong point Mac has is their design and *maybe better in anti-virus/crashes. But that's not enough for me to give up my games and billions of extra applications that PC can run while Macs can't.

Score: 0

By Neo Mike

edited Jul 20, 2005 - 11:46 PM

I never play any games on my computer anymore, the last PC game I had installed on a computer was probably Command and Conquer like 5 or 6 years ago and honestly I have no interest in trying to keep up with top end gaming...

Top end PSU's to ensure frame rates measured by the nanosecond are achieved, meh. That's why I have gaming consoles under my TV. (not that I even have time to play those anymore anyways)

Score: 0

By Kramy

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 3:42 PM

You just about nailed it on the head, except for that last part.

>> PS - Did I mention how easy it is to run a copy of Windows on a Mac, not sure why you'd want to but you could. Oddly you can't run OSX on a PC. Seems like Mac can do a whole lot more than anything PC can.

That means OSX can't do what a PC can - ie run on different hardware. Also, PC hardware can do a lot more than mac hardware, because you can upgrade it to something 10x faster if you need to(and have the money).

Score: 0

By homerjatmoes

edited Jul 20, 2005 - 2:52 PM

As a Windows expert and a new Mac mini owner I have to say the mini is not a good machine to switch with. The base memory is a joke it needs to be at least 512GB or better yet 1GB. It is not able to run all the visual features of Tiger due to the video card. It is a good web surfing and email machine. As for OS X available software is a show stopper. It does run all the majors, MS Office, Photoshop, Dreamweaver, etc, but smaller apps are lacking. No real good ftp client and if you want to backup your DVD's you will have to shell out a chunk of money and still not have anything close to DVD Shrink. That goes for most small apps. Everytime I look for a replacement for a free program I used in Windows an OS X equivelant costs at least $25.00 with no freeware in sight.

Score: 0

By Julesword

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 10:15 PM

There IS enough software for Mac, free, for most people to do what they need to do. (And as you say, most major applications are available.) Software is lacking in some areas, but ftp client isn't one of them.
Lack of games is a pain, but less spyware and viruses is a plus, especially for the majority of PC users who do not know enough to protect themselves. The main hurdle to more Mac sales is the cost. Lots of people like to say that the Mac mini is equivalent to a more expensive PC because it comes with software and adding things like firewire to a PC costs a lot. This isn't a fair comparison because there are very cheap firewire cards for PC, and the software that comes with Mac is usually stolen by PC users, or if not there is plenty of free software for PC as well.
Right now, Mac is more expensive for a machine of comparable performance. For some people it is worth it. I wish Mac would slash prices though and get more market share, give Microsoft a run for their money. I hope they do so when they introduce Intel Macs.

Score: 0

By smashinguk

edited Jul 20, 2005 - 7:52 PM

You are correct that the base 256mb is not enough - the computer feels slow at that level. Spend another $50 and get a 512mb model from Apple, or if you're adventurous and on a budget, spend $120 for a 1gb module from Crucial, and do the upgrade yourself. Look for a video online that walks you through it. Memory aside, the Mini is an utterly awesome piece of kit. For the vast majority of people, it will easily surpass your computing needs. No viruses, a beautiful operating system, looks stunning on your desk, takes up no space, you can stick it in a backpack and take it anywhere there's a screen and keyboard, and it will work. The Mac supplied apps are more than enough for the vast majority of people - a great web browser, a great e-mail program, iTunes and the iTunes music store (if you haven't tried it yet - don't hesitate one more second), iPhoto to work with your digital camera and manage all your digital photos, an easy-to-use calendar and address book. Still not convinced, have a look at Dashboard on the Apple website under the OS X menu tab. Hundreds of super cool free applications with dozens of new ones coming out each week. If you need to do spreadsheets or open word files from work, you'll need a copy of Microsoft Office. As you do on a PC. Basically it's everything that the vast majority of people would want in a home computer. To respond individually to the 'no good ftp client' comment, check out Transmit - it's the best ftp program on either a Mac or PC, in my humble opinion. Bottom line - the PC is a nightmare for security concerns these days... Buy a Mac, sleep at night.

Score: 0

By AmericanPsych0

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 4:27 PM

I couldn't disagree more. There is more than an abundance of freeware apps, as well as shareware apps. One of the things I've come to love about OS X and the Mac community is that there are so many individuals and small companies making apps for OS X. Like the guys at Nisus, and Panic, and the Omni Group. Journler's great, as is Snap 'n' Drag, Colloquy, and Adium. Books, AssignmentTracker X, Comictastic, Sizzling Keys, and TextWrangler, too. And all of those are free! There are so many great free and cheap applications to choose from that I can hardly imagine going back to Windows, as I never had that sorta choice there (or never knew about it).

Score: 0

By cozen

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 2:18 PM

I'd have to agree with this. The iPod sales and the introduction of the new OS X Tiger makes it pretty compelling for those who are looking for something snazzy. I have nothing against Macs myself but they've always been sort of a trend computer.

Score: 0

By sjc001

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 2:16 PM

200,000? That leaves about 1,000,000,000 to go. :)

Score: 0

By zridling

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 1:43 PM

Mac users are like smokers who've quit — they never stop proselytizing once they switch. I'm glad people use their computers, because everyone I know who has one also keeps a PC on hand to do the things that a Mac can't do!

Score: 0

By TheRecklessWanderer

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 12:41 PM

I wonder where that data came from?

Score: 0

By A'gee

posted Jul 20, 2005 - 12:40 PM

For me, it would be the Mac MINI....IPOD is not enough for me to switch...and...virus?... you play it cleanly online and you'll be left alone... (most of the time, that is)... MAC MINI though does have an overwhelmingly power of pulling a window-user over....

Score: 0