Analysis: HP's growth slows, Dell picks up steam in Q2

By Scott M. Fulton, III | Published October 2, 2008, 6:17 PM

You can't keep a good Dell down. After having paid the price two years ago for surrendering its leadership position, it's now clearly rejoining the battle with HP and is inching its way back toward market leadership, according to iSuppli.

It's fair to say that the resurgence of Hewlett-Packard under the leadership of CEO Mark Hurd has been one of the more incredible success stories in the emerging annals of 21st century American business. There were other prospective leaders who could have taken the helm when Hurd did, who might not have led the company away from what seemed certain catastrophe.

But now it appears the battle may be joined, as new sales data from hardware analysis firm iSuppli indicates that, at least between April and June of this year, HP wasn't the fastest car in the race. Its pace slowed a bit -- not a lot, but measurably -- while Dell turned it up to "full rich."

With the onset of the global economic crisis not having yet hit the country in Q2, Dell's worldwide PC unit shipments grew to over 11.2 million units -- 21% more than Dell shipped in Q2 of 2007. HP led the way for the second quarter, however, as it has since the third quarter of 2006, with just under 13.4 million units shipped worldwide, a growth rate of 19.6% annually.

That's still an amazing rate of growth by any measure, but that's down from the first quarter by 3.7%. Dell's growth accelerated in the same period by 1%.

The change-up helped Dell recapture some badly needed market share, gaining 0.7% of global shipments over the previous quarter and 0.9% over Q2 2007, to 16%. HP gained a fraction of market share too: just 0.3% over the previous quarter, to 19.1%.

Analysts at iSuppli credit Dell's repairing its relationships with its retail and channel sellers (it didn't used to sell retail at all, if you'll recall), as well as having overtaken Acer in notebook shipments, reclaiming the #2 spot there. That's actually quite amazing, since it was Acer that was banking its entire worldwide expansion program on the success of new models, especially in the Middle East markets where it has such success.

So if HP and Dell both gained, who lost? In a quarter marked by 14% overall shipment growth -- two percent more than was generally predicted, and certainly extremely healthy by any measure -- the answer is..."Other." Everyone else other than the world's top PC producers dropped a point and a half of collective market share in just one quarter, and 2.2% in one year's time. Acer -- iSuppli's #3 producer, which now incorporates Packard Bell, Gateway, and eMachines brands as well -- was the only market share loser in the top five in Q2, dropping just 0.1% over the previous quarter to 9.5%, shipping 6.65 million units worldwide.

Number four Lenovo had the slowest growth of the top five, with shipments up 14.4% annually to 5.57 million -- still above the global average rate of growth. Toshiba, which unveiled several new notebook models over the spring, surged 23.9% in unit sales to reach 3.18 million.

Any hit to PC shipments on account of the global financial crisis will probably be recorded at the tail end of Q3, and those numbers may probably be tallied and assessed as soon as late November.

Comments

Reading the two testimonies below, I am not sure which vendor is doing the better job!

LOL!

Score: 0

|

HP has laidoff so many people in its support sector that it has almost disappeared. I have a new high end HP sitting next to my 4 year old Dell XPS and the Dell is a better computer in every way.

The HP came with so much bloatware that it was crippled from the start.

Score: 0

|

Great so where are my 64 bit drivers for my m1530? HUH DELL? WHERE????

Score: 0

|

Can Linux do BitLocker better than Windows 7?

Betanews kicks off a new series with a look at how the Linux operating system's FDE stacks up against BitLocker, the Windows feature that today commands a $120 premium.

Firefox 3.5: The need for speed

This has been the big payoff week for Mozilla's developers, who worked overtime to squeeze out the last drop of performance from their new JavaScript engine.

'GeoHot' gets a shower, cleans up nice, reveals new iPhone 3G S jailbreak

Either puberty has been very kind to the author of the new 'Purple Ra1n' jailbreak tool, or George Hotz may also have some adequate Photoshop skills.

What's Next: Obama gives 'Einstein' the go-ahead, while China gives 'Green Dam' a thumbs-down

Plus: If you put up a Web site and name it after you and you're a federal judge, you might not want a bunch of weird nudity hanging around on it.

Why would Windows 7 customers spend $120 more for BitLocker?

For pre-orders from now until July 11, Microsoft is offering the Windows 7 Professional SKU for a very steep discount. So why invest in Ultimate?

Geeks vs. journalists: A tale of two worldviews

Recovery with Angela Gunn Why geeks think most mainstream journalism is flaky, and why the mainstream thinks geeks are trying to kill them. (They're both right.)

Fire in downtown Seattle data center knocks out businesses, online services

Small fire has global impact with payment centers, city services down.

Hybrid satellite cell phones aren't far off

The first satellite in Terrestar's hybrid cellular/satellite phone network has been launched.

SMS could be a critical iPhone vulnerability, says white-hat hacker

Mac hacker Charlie Miller knows how to get into your iPhone.

Will Oracle's Java-based Fusion middleware 'fuse' with Java?

Now that Oracle has acquired Sun Microsystems, Java developers and supporters are wondering when Oracle will formally welcome Java into the family.

All together now: iPhone and Palm Pre, likely to both grace O2's UK portfolio

European wireless network operator O2 has reportedly reached a deal to exclusively carry the Palm Pre in the UK. O2,...

Vista's dead: Microsoft kills an OS and no one cares

Carmi Levy: Wide Angle Zoom Can you kill an operating system? Microsoft is about to find out.

Kantaris Media Player 0.5.7

July 3 - 5:34 PM ET

Wine 1.1.25

July 3 - 5:30 PM ET

ChrisTV Online! Free 4.00

July 3 - 5:22 PM ET

glu 1.0.19 RC1

July 3 - 5:11 PM ET

Website-Watcher 5.1.0 Beta 10

July 3 - 1:20 PM ET