IPTV overtaking cable worldwide, analyst says, but what about the US?

By Jacqueline Emigh | Published January 14, 2009, 1:35 PM

Now that consumers are pinching pennies, an analyst group is predicting that high-speed broadband prices will fall to levels that will make IPTV a preferable alternative to cable and satellite TV...in some parts of the planet, at least.

According to a report by ABI Research, IPTV will grow by about 32 percent annually over the next six years to 79 million users worldwide by the end of 2014. Meanwhile, growth rates for legacy pay-TV platforms such as cable and satellite will slow.

"Some telecom operators which are faced with thinning margins are deploying high-speed access networking technologies to challenge incumbent satellite and cable operators," noted Serene Fong, an ABI analyst, in a statement issued by ABI today.

In a rather evident omission, though, ABI's statement doesn't mention IPTV versus legacy TV usage in either the US or Canada.

"IPTV usage will initially be concentrated in countries with established high-speed Internet technologies such as France, the Netherlands, South Korea and Hong Kong. But as technology progresses and matures, developing countries such as China will rapidly catch up in subscription numbers," according to Fong.

But what will happen in North America, a major market where Internet access speeds still tend to be lower than in some other areas of the world?

Influential manufacturers from both the computer and consumer electronics segments seem to be banking right now on cable as one prime delivery mechanism for both Internet fare and legacy TV programming.

Just last week at CES 2009, big TV makers such as Sony and Samsung announced support for a converged environment from Intel that will bring together Yahoo's "widgets" for Internet access with TV programming menus and other applications capable of running across the platforms of multiple legacy cable TV providers.

Time Warner is already supporting the platform, and other North American cable TV providers will do so later this year, an Intel official told Betanews.

At the same time, the digital TV conversion is set to happen in the US next month, and cable and satellite TV services will undoubtedly gain new subscribers among consumers who decide to simply sign up instead of installing converter boxes.

On the other hand, with FiOS now in its early implementation stages -- and 4G wireless services such as WiMAX and LTE now in the wings -- broadband IP speeds should ultimately push higher in North America, too.

Comments

View comments by with a score of at least

Yeah, and VCDs have dominated over DVDs in much of the world for the past 20 years.

Whoopee.

Score: 1

|

We've got AT&T's U-Verse service. IPTV, 6MB Internet and built-in WiFi. Love the service, especially all of the HD channels and don't have to deal with the cable or satellite companies (I've had both!). There was a news announcement that AT&T has 1M IPTV customers so it seems like they'll be out in front.

Score: 0

|

Faster or more secure? Microsoft publishes IE patch to Automatic Updates

In a pre-emptive strike against a possibly critical future vulnerability, the company issues a patch to a patch that will definitely slow down Internet Explorer.

How RIM can avoid a premature endgame for BlackBerry

Carmi Levy | Wide Angle Zoom: The conservative strategy put RIM on the map, but today it's making BlackBerry vulnerable to obsolescence.

Is there any sense to Microsoft's 800 layoffs?

Timing is surprising. What do Microsoft executives know that you or I don't?

Apple's App Store hits 100K apps: News or rhetoric?

The iPhone private market now has a catalog of over 100,000 downloadable apps, but it's not an achievement that Apple earned.

New European counterpart to FCC will ensure 'a more neutral net'

Late Thursday night, the ruling telecom administrators of the EU's member nations signed away their final authority to a new entity overseen by the EC.

Verizon Wireless launches new Android, Chocolate, and ruggedized phones

The lower-priced Eris joins the Droid, while the Chocolate gets a touchscreen and more music playback.

Sophos study suggests Windows 7 UAC's default setting is self-defeating

Without any anti-virus installed, a Sophos test showed, User Account Control was only capable of thwarting just one malware package out of ten samples chosen.

Indiscreet tweet trips awareness of Web SSL vulnerability

A group of high-level security engineers had been making progress on thwarting a low-level threat to the Web, until somebody blurted it all out on Twitter.

Is AES encryption crackable?

In a theoretical setting, a team of researchers has discovered what they think could be a flaw that leaves AES encryption open to attack.

New York: Intel's agreements to lower CPU prices led to overcharges

It's a huge legal stretch, but the law may not have another way to estimate just how much OEM purchasing agreements with Intel may have hurt consumers.

Performance drain: The first public perception test of the Windows 7 era

Scott Fulton On Point: The opinion that regular users out there won't care about the changes happening in software even as we speak, is flat wrong.