Will 'Cyber Monday' fare better than a weak 'Black Friday?'

By Tim Conneally | Published December 1, 2008, 12:50 PM

Today could be the day for some of the best online deals to be found all year. But will consumers bite? Internet market research firm comScore released its early holiday figures, showing a drop in online sales by 4%.

Here at the peak of the shopping season at what US government economists this morning officially proclaimed a "recession," the behavior of consumers is closely monitored. In the tech sector, groups such as comScore are paying strict attention to e-commerce traffic and consumer online spending. The group today has released its "Black Friday" sales data.

Last Tuesday, comScore released its prediction that e-commerce would drive about the same amount of traffic as last year, projecting a flat growth year over year. Today, the group said that from the first of November to "Black Friday," November 28, online spending has actually dropped about 4%. In 2007, $10.8 billion was spent online. This year, it was $10.4 billion. Black Friday itself was actually up a single percent over last year.

Today's data proved Retail Decisions' predictions incorrect as well. The group last week expected that 10:25 am EST on Black Friday would be the busiest shopping moment of the year for online retailers. As it turned out, comScore today found that the busiest single hour of Black Friday online shopping was actually 12:00 - 1:00 pm, in which 8% of the day's sales took place (or nearly $42.7 million worth).

"Cyber Monday" has, in its brief three-year existence as a more or less official shopping day, predicted the overall performance of online holiday shopping growth. That is, the percentage of growth that takes place on Cyber Monday has been very close to the overall growth for the full season. So if comScore is sticking to its predictions, today's sales will represent a 19%-21% spike, the same as 2007.

BetaNews does not wish to encourage frivolous spending, but as today is a good day to acquire computer and entertainment gear at a discount, we will be keeping a live blog of Cyber Monday sales.

Comments

nope - deals Monday were not nearly as enticing as Friday's

Score: 0

|

Ummm This Black Friday was up 3% over last year via all major news networks.. So whats up with the word Weak??

Score: 0

|

If you think these prices are good just wait until after $mas sales..

It's very sad that everything is about spending money. The american public needs to learn from there euro brothers....

Score: 0

|

I really hate this kind of consumer play-by-play bs leading up to Christmas.

Score: 0

|

If I hadn't bought one only two months ago, I would be snapping up the 52" LG 1080p LCD TV that's on sale for $1,399 today. I actually think todays sales are better than Fridays!

Score: 0

|

Silverlight 3 goes live on Microsoft's servers

Microsoft's answer to Adobe's Flash is (unofficially) here, with prospects of higher-speed, higher-resolution video and for the first time, 3D.

Three Android phones on the way from T-Mobile in 2009

T-Mobile's myTouch 3G, launched Wednesday, will be followed by two more Android phones later this year, but neither of them will be HTC's Hero.

Best Buy-brand TVs to get TiVo

A new alliance will place the retailer's own brand alongide the manufacturers, and could also lead to future partnerships on services.

LTE still lacks a voice

The 4G Wireless standard that Verizon hopes to show off before this year is out is still at a loss for (spoken) words.

Data sharing among online advertisers: Is sanity in sight?

Lockdown with Angela Gunn In the middle of a 15-page plea not to get regulated, a spark of smart thinking.

T-Mobile's strategy to combat Apple's iPhone with Android

With a trio of Android phones now in the pipeline for 2009, T-Mobile hopes to break the iPhone's emerging stranglehold.

EC's Reding: Government should act as broker for media downloads

If Internet media services don't step up and build an attractive way for users to start paying for downloads, a commissioner says, government may do the job instead.

Sony TVs get Netflix, still no PS3

Though it's coming in behind LG, Samsung, and Microsoft, Sony will begin to offer Netflix streaming, too.

Google Chrome OS: Too little, too early

Carmi Levy: Wide Angle Zoom Don't start the revolution just yet, says Carmi, who isn't so certain Chrome OS will be the "Windows Killer."

GAO pen test brings the hammer down on federal rent-a-cops

But are the computers to blame for the contract-guard fiasco at FPS?

What's Next: Chrome OS will have at least some friends in high places

Also: South Korea takes another round of DDoS abuse, and Neelie Kroes and Steve Ballmer may shake hands before she exits stage left.

Report: Evidence of further creativity with Windows 7 upgrade prices

A ZDNet blogger did some serious digging for clues as to a reported price break on multiple Windows 7 Home Premium licenses, and may have found it.